Uncertainty of Electricity's Real Demand Due to AI

marcus

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From https://www.techradar.com/pro/how-d...e-currently-being-delayed-stalled-or-canceled
Title : 'How do you know what's real?': US utilities are making AI data centers prove they exist before handing over power connections — as 50% of planned buildouts are currently being delayed, stalled, or canceled
By Rahim Amir , Oct 2026

... Because grid costs are shared, phantom demand risks landing on household bills, and nobody knows how much of it is real yet.

... developers have requested 1,066GW of grid connections for US data centers, according to a Wood Mackenzie analysis .. in August 2026, a figure equal to roughly 83% of the country's entire utility-scale generating capacity at the end of 2025.

Wood Mackenzie expects utilities to commit to serving only about 29% of it: roughly 12% that already has firm service commitments, plus a further 17% that looks likely...

Utility Dive was writing about phantom data centers in 2025, and TR reported in July that 67% of electricity executives surveyed by Capgemini were seeing speculative applications for capacity. The change is that utilities are now pricing the problem, and it is causing many adverse effects ...

PJM's (the largest US grid operator) independent market monitor told federal regulators that .. 42% of the growth it had assumed, had already been canceled or delayed ...

Underbuilding carries its own risks, though, especially when transformers can take years to arrive ...

What nobody can yet say is how much of the AI power rush is real, and that poses problems for planners, stakeholders, and households alike ...
 
Amazon abandons $427 million .. data center plan ...

In late July, Amazon filed a site plan for a proposed data center development ...

... district supervisor Juli Briskman in July challenged the prospect of adding another large data center.

"Replacing the George Washington University campus with 4 massive data center buildings would be a profound loss for our community," .. I strongly oppose this proposal and will fight it every step of the way."

Amazon eventually decided to .. abandon its data center investment ...

(from https://finance.yahoo.com/real-estate/articles/amazon-abandons-427-million-gw-181914510.html , Oct 2026)
 

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