An El Niño year…. 🌞

[jstar]

It’s rather hot lately. And last month South Asia suffered from a heat wave. Vietnam currently has record highs of 44,1°C.

It seems very likely that we will be dealing with the El Niño weather phenomenon this year, which may be accompanied by new high temperature records. That message comes from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) of the United Nations (UN). The WMO estimates the chance of experiencing El Niño at the end of July at 60% and at the end of September at 80%.

El Niño is a natural phenomenon typically associated with rising temperatures, increasing drought in certain parts of the world, and heavy rainfall in others. It is responsible for a periodic warming of the ocean waters, which causes the earth to warm up. The phenomenon occurs on average every two to seven years, for an average period of nine to twelve months. The phenomenon typically causes increased rainfall in parts of South America, the southern United States, the Horn of Africa and Central Asia, and extreme drought in Australia, Indonesia and certain parts of South Asia. The most recent time the weather phenomenon hit was in 2018-2019. Then it gave way to a remarkably long period of La Niña, which does the opposite and has a cooling effect.

It is not possible at this stage to predict the intensity or duration of El Niño. The previous episode of the phenomenon was considered rather weak, but the one before that - between 2014 and 2016 - was particularly powerful and had disastrous consequences. For example, 2016 was “the warmest year on record due to ‘the dual effect’ of a very strong El Niño and warming caused by greenhouse gases related to human activity,” the WMO points out. The impact of El Niño is usually only felt in the year following the occurrence of the phenomenon, in this case 2024. “The world must prepare”, according to the meteorological organization.

 

[Samoerai]

It’s rather hot lately. And last month South Asia suffered from a heat wave. Vietnam currently has record highs of 44,1°C.

It seems very likely that we will be dealing with the El Niño weather phenomenon this year, which may be accompanied by new high temperature records. That message comes from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) of the United Nations (UN). The WMO estimates the chance of experiencing El Niño at the end of July at 60% and at the end of September at 80%.

El Niño is a natural phenomenon typically associated with rising temperatures, increasing drought in certain parts of the world, and heavy rainfall in others. It is responsible for a periodic warming of the ocean waters, which causes the earth to warm up. The phenomenon occurs on average every two to seven years, for an average period of nine to twelve months. The phenomenon typically causes increased rainfall in parts of South America, the southern United States, the Horn of Africa and Central Asia, and extreme drought in Australia, Indonesia and certain parts of South Asia. The most recent time the weather phenomenon hit was in 2018-2019. Then it gave way to a remarkably long period of La Niña, which does the opposite and has a cooling effect.

It is not possible at this stage to predict the intensity or duration of El Niño. The previous episode of the phenomenon was considered rather weak, but the one before that - between 2014 and 2016 - was particularly powerful and had disastrous consequences. For example, 2016 was “the warmest year on record due to ‘the dual effect’ of a very strong El Niño and warming caused by greenhouse gases related to human activity,” the WMO points out. The impact of El Niño is usually only felt in the year following the occurrence of the phenomenon, in this case 2024. “The world must prepare”, according to the meteorological organization.

Today in the news:
"The Canadian province of Alberta has declared a state of emergency due to the high number of wildfires. Provincial Premier Danielle Smith made the announcement during a press conference. She described the situation as an "unprecedented crisis".

Some 25,000 Alberta residents have been forced to leave their homes in recent days due to approaching wildfires, and it is estimated that more than 5,000 are about to be evacuated. 110 active wildfires were counted in the province on Saturday, seven more than the day before. According to the authorities, 36 of those fires are "out of control". Due to the hot and dry weather, the fires are increasing in strength and number."

 

[Bad_azz]

I said as much to the hubby earlier on in the week, what should be dry season by now has been incessant rain & storms here.
We are lucky if we get 1 dry day let alone a week or more and it just feels warmer, although my thermometer doesn't seem to be registering much change.
I can say it has been a long while since the evenings were chilly here.

 

[Samoerai]

Also in the news, today:

Record heat in Vietnam

Never before have high temperatures been measured in Vietnam like this weekend. Yesterday the temperature in the uncertain province of Thanh Hoa rose to more than 44 degrees Celsius. Authorities called on the population to stay indoors during the hottest hours of the day.

Extreme heat has also been experienced in other countries in the region. Dhaka, the capital of Bangladesh, recorded the highest temperature since 1960 and other parts of that country also became unusually hot. Myanmar and Thailand also reached the record highs of recent weeks.

 

[jstar]

After the hottest month of April ever recorded in history, the north of Spain encounters now this…

 

[Samoerai]

17 May 2023:
Heavy flooding and evacuations in northern Italy

In the north of Italy, heavy and prolonged rainfall has led to flooding. According to local media, thousands of people have already been evacuated. The Emilia-Romagna region has been particularly affected.

Formule 1-circuit ontruimd uit angst voor modderverschuivingen en overstroming

Het personeel van de raceteams heeft de opdracht gekregen om voorlopig het circuit te verlaten uit angst voor overstromingen en modderverschuivingen.

nos.nl

 

[Samoerai]

It seems very likely that we will be dealing with the El Niño weather phenomenon this year

The weather phenomenon El Niño has officially started. That's what researchers at the American meteorological institute NOAA say. The natural phenomenon could cause record temperatures and extreme weather later this year and into 2024.

NOAA declares the arrival of El Nino

 

[Pak Tani]

I remember very well the rain season of 2007-2008, right after the 2007 el Nino. It was early January and we had just planted 3 plots of land with Sengon trees. Then, a full month of no rain, clear skies and scorching heat. Most trees did not survive and had to be replanted later in the rain season, missing out on -what was supposed to be- the best months of the year for planting.
Yes, El Nino can have a big impact on farmers and food supply.

 

[Helpful Herbert]

I remember the drought of 2018 very well, there was no rain at all in Bogor for 5 months, and the wells ran dry. I guess it will happen in 2024 too.

 

[ChrisTex]

I remember El Nino from 1998 to 2000 in Texas. I think I didn't wear shorts to school maybe 5 times. Then Dallas set the record for days without rain and consecutive days off 100 degrees. I think one day was even 107 degrees.

A number of MLB games are being postponed and NFL offseason training camps were moved indoors or canceled.

 

[serious_fun]

... Dallas ... NFL offseason training camps...

Off topic, but one of the thrills of my childhood was getting the autographs of Roger Staubach, Bob Lilly, Jethro Pugh, and Drew Pearson during their Spring training camp. (It was Drew Pearson's rookie training camp). I asked the speedy Bob Hayes for his autograph a bunch of times but he always replied, "I'm running". (Hayes jogged from venue to venue).

A long time ago!

 

[flavus]

After the Alberta forest fires, now it's Quebec's turn. Air quality has been bad in places like New York, Toronto and even Chicago due to this

https://www.cnn.com/2023/06/06/us/new-york-air-pollution-canada-wildfires-climate/index.html

 

[ChrisTex]

Off topic, but one of the thrills of my childhood was getting the autographs of Roger Staubach, Bob Lilly, Jethro Pugh, and Drew Pearson during their Spring training camp. (It was Drew Pearson's rookie training camp). I asked the speedy Bob Hayes for his autograph a bunch of times but he always replied, "I'm running". (Hayes jogged from venue to venue).

A long time ago!

At one point I lived within 2 miles miles of Randy White's ranch, 5 miles from Troy Aikman's parents, and 7 miles from Bill Bates' ranch.

 

[Samoerai]

After the Alberta forest fires, now it's Quebec's turn. Air quality has been bad in places like New York, Toronto and even Chicago due to this

https://www.cnn.com/2023/06/06/us/new-york-air-pollution-canada-wildfires-climate/index.html

Smokey skies .. pollution worse than in Jakarta ...

 

[jstar]

It’s like smoking a pack of cigarettes at once.

You can imagine what Singapore, Palembang etc. are like when they set fire to the tropical forests to get land available for palm trees (for the oil).

As said before, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) warned us, now they added a period: 2023-2027. So this would almost certainly be the warmest period on record due to the combined effect of El Niño and global warming from greenhouse gas emissions.

 

[jstar]

A district in the US state of Oregon has filed a lawsuit against 17 companies, including oil giants BP, Shell and Exxon Mobil. Multnomah County, which also includes the city of Portland, is demanding a total of $51 billion from the group of companies.

Multnomah County claims that the CO2 emissions from these companies are partly responsible for the unprecedented heat wave in the summer of 2021. During that period, part of the US and Canadian west coast was hit by the so-called 'heat dome', causing temperatures in some places to rise. almost fifty degrees Celsius. 69 people lost their lives.

 

[Bob]

A district in the US state of Oregon has filed a lawsuit against 17 companies, including oil giants BP, Shell and Exxon Mobil. Multnomah County, which also includes the city of Portland, is demanding a total of $51 billion from the group of companies.

Multnomah County claims that the CO2 emissions from these companies are partly responsible for the unprecedented heat wave in the summer of 2021. During that period, part of the US and Canadian west coast was hit by the so-called 'heat dome', causing temperatures in some places to rise. almost fifty degrees Celsius. 69 people lost their lives.

I guess they're looking for a bigger payout than they could get flopping in front of a car at a crosswalk.

 

[flavus]

Thanks to the ongoing Canadian wildfires, and the shifting wind, the top two most polluted cities right now are in the US midwest. Jakarta is down in fourth.

 

[Samoerai]

Thanks to the ongoing Canadian wildfires, and the shifting wind, the top two most polluted cities right now are in the US midwest. Jakarta is down in fourth.
View attachment 3210

I see .. that's why you moved out from Jakarta to USA .. you want to live longer.

 

[serious_fun]

Thanks to the ongoing Canadian wildfires, and the shifting wind, the top two most polluted cities right now are in the US midwest. Jakarta is down in fourth.

Those numbers are quite low! Check this site for real time AQI data...scary! Hefei (China) has a reading of 999 as I write this post.